Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Tuesday, May 19, 2026 between AC Monza and SS Juve Stabia.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AC Monza | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Draw (AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia) | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| SS Juve Stabia | 36% YES | 64% NO |
AC Monza will travel to face SS Juve Stabia in a Serie B fixture on Tuesday, 19 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Monza victory at 39% implied probability, reflecting the market's assessment that the home side holds a material advantage in this late-season encounter.
Monza have historically been one of Serie B's stronger sides, with recent campaigns showing consistent promotion contention and superior squad depth relative to mid-table opponents. Juve Stabia, whilst competitive in the second tier, have typically finished lower in the standings and lack Monza's financial resources. The 39% probability assigned to Monza suggests traders are pricing in the visitors' structural disadvantage but also accounting for the inherent volatility of single-match outcomes in professional football, where form, injuries, and tactical execution can override historical patterns.
Key variables for traders monitoring this market include team news releases in the week preceding the match—particularly injury confirmations for either side's key players—and any late-season fixture congestion that might affect squad rotation decisions. Monza's position in the final standings as of mid-May will also matter; if they are already promoted or mathematically safe, rotation risk increases. Conversely, if Juve Stabia remain in a promotion or playoff chase, they may field a stronger eleven. The settlement window closes at 18:00 UTC on match day, allowing traders roughly 90 minutes post-kick-off to adjust positions based on live information before final resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaserieb.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaserieb.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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