Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Isabella Shinikova and Anastasia Tikhonova in the ITF Women Caserta, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isabella Shinikova' if Isabella Shinikova advances against Anastasia Tikhonova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Tikhonova' if Anastasia Tikhonova advances against Isabella Shinikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caserta: Isabella Shinikova vs Anastasia Tikhonova | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Isabella Shinikova and Anastasia Tikhonova are scheduled to meet in the ITF Women's Caserta tournament on 2 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Shinikova's advancement at 10%, reflecting strong backing for Tikhonova amongst traders. This probability spread suggests confidence in the Russian player's form or a perceived skill differential, though ITF-level matches carry inherent volatility given the developmental nature of the circuit and variable player preparation cycles.
Shinikova, a Bulgarian player, has competed across ITF and WTA qualifying draws with mixed results in recent seasons. Tikhonova, competing from Russia, has similarly navigated the ITF circuit. Historical precedent on Polymarket for lower-ranked ITF matches shows that probabilities below 15% often reflect either a significant ranking gap, recent head-to-head records favouring one player, or known fitness concerns. The 10% mark suggests traders are pricing in either a substantial form advantage for Tikhonova or recent tournament results that have shifted confidence decisively away from Shinikova.
Key catalysts include any withdrawal announcements prior to 2 June, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Weather disruptions at the Caserta venue could delay proceedings beyond the seven-day window, similarly resolving to 50-50. Traders should monitor ITF results from late May for both players' recent match outcomes and confidence levels. The settlement window closes on 9 June, allowing three days beyond the scheduled date for match completion before resolution uncertainty becomes material.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caserta: Isabella Shinikova vs Anastasia Tikhonova" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15K in lifetime turnover and $35K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $15K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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