Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Majchrzak and Gabriele Bosio in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Majchrzak' if Adam Majchrzak advances against Gabriele Bosio. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Adam Majchrzak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Adam Majchrzak vs Gabriele Bosio | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Adam Majchrzak and Gabriele Bosio are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Tsaghkadzor tournament on 2 June 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Majchrzak's advancement, with this pricing formed across Polymarket's order book as traders position ahead of the match. The settlement window closes on 9 June, allowing a seven-day window for the match to be completed; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution.
The extreme probability skew warrants scrutiny against comparable ITF lower-tier matches, where upsets occur at measurable frequencies despite ranking disparities. Majchrzak, a Polish player ranked outside the top 500 ATP, faces Bosio, an Italian competitor of similar standing. Historical ITF data shows that matches between players of equivalent level rarely produce certainty-level odds; the current 100% reading suggests either minimal liquidity depth on the order book or a significant information asymmetry favouring Majchrzak's advancement.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament schedules and any weather disruptions affecting the Tsaghkadzor venue in early June, as Armenian mountain conditions can trigger delays. Injury announcements or late withdrawals from either player would alter the match's occurrence entirely. The thin liquidity typical of ITF markets means even modest position sizes can shift implied probabilities substantially, so the current extreme reading may reflect limited order book depth rather than genuine certainty about the outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Adam Majchrzak vs Gabriele Bosio" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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