Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge and Lorenzo Bocchi in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge' if Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge advances against Lorenzo Bocchi. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Bocchi' if Lorenzo Bocchi advances against Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge vs Lorenzo Bocchi | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge faces Lorenzo Bocchi in an ITF Men's tournament match at Tsaghkadzor, Armenia, originally scheduled for 2 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero implied probability for a Grohbruegge victory, suggesting either strong backing for Bocchi or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price. With settlement closing 7 June, traders have a narrow window to assess form, surface conditions, and head-to-head dynamics before the match concludes.
ITF Futures matches at this tier typically feature volatile probability shifts as match day approaches, particularly when limited historical data exists between opponents. Grohbruegge and Bocchi are lower-ranked professionals competing outside ATP circuits; comparable ITF events show that 0% probabilities often reflect thin liquidity rather than certainty of outcome. Recent ITF tournaments in Eastern Europe have proceeded as scheduled despite logistical challenges, though weather and travel disruptions remain material risks for early-June Armenian fixtures.
Traders should monitor entry lists and withdrawal announcements through the ITF website and ATP Challenger schedule updates, which typically confirm participation 48 hours before play. Court surface conditions—Tsaghkadzor traditionally hosts clay courts—favour baseline consistency over serve dominance. Any withdrawal, injury report, or schedule delay beyond 7 days from the original date would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, fundamentally altering the risk profile. Current pricing suggests the market awaits either fresh information or initial trading to establish meaningful liquidity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge vs Lorenzo Bocchi" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$554 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $553 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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