Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio and Bautista de la Pena in the ITF Men Cuiaba, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio' if Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio advances against Bautista de la Pena. This market will resolve to 'Bautista de la Pena' if Bautista de la Pena advances against Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Cuiaba: Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio vs Bautista de la Pena | 54% YES | 46% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
An ITF Men's tournament match in Cuiabá scheduled for 2 June 2026 will determine whether Brazilian player Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio defeats Argentinian opponent Bautista de la Pena. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 55% implied probability for Damazio's victory, suggesting near-parity in market expectations with a modest lean towards the Brazilian player.
ITF Futures events at this level typically feature significant variance in player form and preparation. Damazio, competing on home soil in Brazil, carries the conventional home-court advantage that historically shifts probabilities by 3–5 percentage points in clay-court tournaments. Bautista de la Pena's recent ranking trajectory and match results against comparable opponents will determine whether the current probability adequately prices in Damazio's venue advantage. Previous ITF Cuiabá tournaments have shown that lower-ranked players often perform unpredictably, particularly when facing domestic competitors with local support.
Traders should monitor both players' entry confirmations and any withdrawal announcements through the ITF's official draw releases, typically published 48 hours before competition begins. Weather conditions in Cuiabá during early June—particularly humidity and clay-court moisture levels—can materially affect match outcomes. The settlement window closes 7 June 2026, allowing a five-day buffer beyond the scheduled date for delayed matches. Any cancellation, postponement beyond that window, or tie result triggers automatic resolution against both outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Cuiaba: Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio vs Bautista de la Pena" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$387 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $387 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: