Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Indian Super League game, scheduled for May 21 at 10:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-1.5) | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| SC Delhi (-1.5) | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-2.5) | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| SC Delhi (-2.5) | 30% YES | 70% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
Mohun Bagan Super Giant will face SC Delhi in an Indian Super League fixture on 21 May 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing the outcome at 36% implied probability for the YES side, reflecting market participants' assessment of the match result or specified condition. This probability has formed through live trading activity and reflects the aggregate view of liquidity providers and takers across the platform's order book.
Mohun Bagan Super Giant finished the 2024–25 ISL season as a competitive mid-table side, whilst SC Delhi has historically struggled to maintain consistent form in the league. Historical matchups between these clubs show Mohun Bagan holding a slight edge in head-to-head records, though Delhi has occasionally produced upset results when playing at home. The 36% probability suggests traders are pricing in Delhi's underdog status relative to Mohun Bagan, though the margin reflects meaningful uncertainty about the specific market condition being settled.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or suspensions in the weeks leading to the fixture, as the ISL schedule often produces fixture congestion that affects squad rotation decisions. Recent form in the league, particularly results in the final weeks before 21 May, will likely shift the probability as match day approaches. Venue confirmation and weather conditions in Delhi may also influence trading activity closer to settlement, given their potential impact on playing style and match dynamics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.indiansuperleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. SC Delhi - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.indiansuperleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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