Trade: Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre - More Markets
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for May 17 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $135K
- Total Volume
- $3
- 24h Volume
- $3
- Open Interest
- $3
Market outcomes
| Lille OSC (-1.5) | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| AJ Auxerre (-1.5) | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Lille OSC (-2.5) | 21% YES | 80% NO |
| AJ Auxerre (-2.5) | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 91% YES | 10% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 79% YES | 21% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 32% YES | 68% NO |
Market context
Lille OSC will face AJ Auxerre in a Ligue 1 fixture on 17 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 43% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, indicating how traders are pricing the broader set of secondary betting options available for this match. This probability has emerged from real-time trading activity and represents the marginal price at which buyers and sellers are meeting.
Ligue 1 late-season fixtures often see significant variance in team motivation and squad rotation, particularly when final standings are already determined. Lille and Auxerre's relative league positions heading into May will shape expectations around team selection and intensity. Historical patterns suggest that matches involving mid-table or lower-placed sides in the final weeks can produce wider-than-expected odds movements, as injury updates and managerial decisions materialise closer to kickoff.
Traders should monitor squad news and official team announcements in the week preceding the match. Lille's European commitments or domestic cup obligations earlier in May may influence rotation decisions. Auxerre's recent form and any changes to coaching staff warrant attention, as these often correlate with tactical shifts that affect market pricing. Weather conditions at the venue and any late fixture rescheduling announcements could also trigger repricing across the order book in the final days before settlement.
Wikipedia Context
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Lille OSCLille Olympique Sporting Club, commonly referred to as LOSC, LOSC Lille or simply Lille, is a French professional football club based in Lille, Northern France competing in Ligue 1, the top division of French football. Lille have played their home matches since 2012 at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The 50,186-capacity retractable roof venue is the fourth-largest
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Lille OSC in European football
French football club Lille OSC played their first European competition in the 1951 Latin Cup. Their first match was against Portuguese side Sporting CP.
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Lille OSC (women)
Lille OSC is a French women's football club based in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. The club is the female section of Ligue 1 men's club Lille OSC. The club was founded in 2005. Since 2017, they currently play in the Seconde Ligue, the second-highest division of women's football in France.
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Lille Strandstræde 8Lille Strandstræde 8 is an 18th-century property situated around the corner from Nyhavn in central Copenhagen, Denmark. Constructed as a two-storey, half-timbered building for Andreas Bodenhoff in the middle of the century, it was later first reconstructed in brick and heightened with two storeys in 1783 and then, in 1932, expanded with a seven-bays-long sid
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$3 in lifetime turnover and $135K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre - More Markets"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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