Trade: AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between AJ Auxerre and OGC Nice, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- —
- Total Volume
- $7
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $7
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
AJ Auxerre will face OGC Nice in a Ligue 1 fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the market's assessment that no single exact scoreline has accumulated sufficient backing to register measurable probability mass. This positioning is typical for exact-score markets where liquidity concentrates on broader outcome categories or where traders have not yet committed capital to specific scorelines ahead of the match.
Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in Ligue 1 fixtures typically see probability distributed across a narrow range of outcomes. The most frequently occurring scorelines—1–1, 1–0, and 2–1—historically capture 40–50% of combined probability in similar matchups. The current zero reading on Polymarket indicates either minimal order-book depth at present or that traders are awaiting additional information before positioning. Auxerre finished the 2024–25 season mid-table, whilst Nice has competed for European qualification; their respective attacking and defensive profiles will inform which scorelines traders deem plausible once trading activity begins.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official Ligue 1 fixture confirmations through early May 2026, as injury announcements or tactical shifts could alter expected goal-scoring patterns. Weather conditions and pitch state reported closer to kick-off may also influence scoring likelihood. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day, allowing traders to adjust positions based on pre-match developments and early team-sheet confirmations.
Wikipedia Context
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AJ AuxerreAssociation de la Jeunesse Auxerroise, commonly known as AJ Auxerre or by the abbreviation AJA, is a French professional football club based in Auxerre, Bourgogne-Franche-Comté, France. The club currently competes in Ligue 1, the top division of French football. Auxerre plays its home matches at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, on the banks of the Yonne River.
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AJ Auxerre (women)
Association de la Jeunesse Auxerroise, commonly known as AJ Auxerre or just Auxerre, is a French professional women's football club based in the commune of Auxerre in Bourgogne-Franche-Comté. It serves as the women's section of its Ligue 1 namesake and competes in the Seconde Ligue – the second tier of the French league system.
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AuxerreAuxerre is the capital (prefecture) of the Yonne department and the fourth-largest city in the Burgundy historical region southeast of Paris. Auxerre's population today is about 35,000; the urban area comprises roughly 111,000 inhabitants. Residents of Auxerre are referred to as Auxerrois.
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Auxerre CathedralAuxerre Cathedral is a Roman Catholic church, dedicated to Saint Stephen, located in Auxerre, Burgundy, France. It was constructed between the 13th and 16th centuries, on the site of a Romanesque cathedral from the 11th century, whose crypt is found underneath the cathedral. It is known for 11th century Carolingian frescoes found in the crypt, and for its la
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$7 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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