Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 18 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Switzerland (-1.5) | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Switzerland (-2.5) | 16% YES | 84% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 93% YES | 7% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) | 4% YES | 96% NO |
Switzerland and Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 18 June 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market settles YES if additional betting markets for the match become available on Polymarket before the settlement window closes. The current order book is pricing a 36% probability of YES, reflecting trader expectations that supplementary markets will launch alongside or shortly after the primary match outcome market.
Historical precedent suggests Polymarket typically expands its sports coverage for major tournament fixtures. During the 2022 World Cup, the platform progressively added derivative markets—including first-goal scorer, total goals, and half-time results—as matches approached. The depth of additional markets often correlates with perceived liquidity potential and user demand; matches involving higher-profile nations or significant qualification stakes tend to attract more granular market creation. Switzerland's established football infrastructure and Bosnia and Herzegovina's historical World Cup participation make this fixture moderately notable, though neither nation commands the market-creation intensity of top-tier matchups.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's development roadmap and any announcements regarding World Cup 2026 market expansion timelines. The scheduling of related matches and broader tournament infrastructure decisions will influence whether platform operators prioritise this fixture for supplementary markets. Recent platform updates have shown increased automation in market deployment for qualifying rounds, though manual curation remains standard for secondary markets. The settlement window extends to 18 June at 19:00 UTC, providing a six-hour buffer after kick-off for market creation decisions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$847 in lifetime turnover and $18K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $37 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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