Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for May 31 at 9:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Switzerland (-1.5) | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Jordan (-1.5) | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Switzerland (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Jordan (-2.5) | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 62% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 54% YES | 46% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Switzerland and Jordan are scheduled to contest a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices the "More Markets" proposition at 42% implied probability, reflecting trader expectations that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture beyond those already listed.
Historical precedent suggests that friendly matches between UEFA and AFC confederation sides attract moderate liquidity on prediction platforms. Switzerland typically draws stronger market interest than Jordan in European-centric trading venues, though the depth of available markets depends on fixture prominence and trader demand rather than team ranking alone. Comparable friendlies involving Swiss national teams have seen secondary market proliferation when scheduled during international windows, particularly when fixtures fall within European media coverage hours. Jordan's participation introduces an element of uncertainty; friendlies involving less-frequently-traded nations sometimes see limited market expansion unless the opponent carries sufficient profile.
Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture calendar and any late announcements regarding broadcast partnerships or sponsorship arrangements, which often correlate with market expansion decisions. The settlement window closing on 31 May at 13:00 UTC provides a narrow window for market creation and resolution. Any postponement or cancellation would likely trigger market adjustments. Current probability at 42% suggests moderate confidence in additional markets materialising, with traders pricing in both the likelihood of expanded offerings and the possibility that this fixture remains limited to core betting options.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Switzerland vs. Jordan - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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