Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for May 8 at 2:15PM ET: If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to "Panathinaikos". If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Panathinaikos vs. Valencia | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Panathinaikos and Valencia are scheduled to contest a Euroleague basketball match on 8 May at 2:15 PM ET, with settlement occurring immediately following the final whistle. The current order book on Polymarket reflects zero probability assigned to a Panathinaikos victory, suggesting either overwhelming market confidence in Valencia or minimal liquidity in the YES position. This extreme probability distribution warrants examination against recent form and the structural factors influencing the matchup.
Euroleague playoff fixtures at this stage typically feature teams with established track records in European competition. Valencia has historically been a consistent performer in the tournament, whilst Panathinaikos' recent seasons have seen variable results. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book likely reflects either a significant disparity in current squad strength, recent head-to-head results, or the absence of meaningful backing for the Panathinaikos outcome. Comparable playoff scenarios show that extreme probabilities often persist when one team holds a substantial advantage or when market participants have limited conviction in the underdog.
Traders should monitor team news regarding player availability and injury status in the days preceding the fixture, as Euroleague rosters frequently experience late changes. Fixture scheduling announcements and any official communications from the league regarding venue or timing adjustments could alter market conditions. Recent form data, including both teams' performance in qualifying rounds and any interim matches, will provide concrete indicators of current competitive standing. The settlement window closes at 18:15 UTC on 8 May, allowing traders to adjust positions based on pre-match developments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Panathinaikos vs. Valencia" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$125K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $123K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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