Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Friday, May 8, 2026 between Cádiz CF and RC Deportivo La Coruña.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Cádiz CF | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Cádiz CF will host RC Deportivo La Coruña in a La Liga 2 fixture on Friday, 8 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders are pricing this event with extreme certainty toward the NO resolution. This pricing emerges from real-time order flow and liquidity conditions on the platform, where the spread between bid and ask has compressed to reflect minimal perceived likelihood of the event occurring.
La Liga 2 matches between these clubs carry historical context worth examining. Both sides have experienced significant fluctuations in competitive standing over recent seasons, with Deportivo La Coruña's recent trajectory and Cádiz's current divisional status shaping expectations. Comparable fixtures in the second tier show that opening-day probabilities can shift substantially once team sheets, injury reports, and final squad confirmations materialise closer to kickoff.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and any late injury developments in the days preceding the match, as La Liga 2 fixtures often see tactical adjustments based on available personnel. Fixture congestion and any mid-week commitments for either side could influence team selection. The settlement window closes at 18:30 UTC on match day, leaving a narrow window for final information absorption. Recent reporting on both clubs' end-of-season preparations will provide context for how market participants are currently calibrating their positions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$88K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $84K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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