Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the La Liga 2 game, scheduled for May 10 at 8:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Andorra (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| UD Las Palmas (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Andorra (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| UD Las Palmas (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
FC Andorra and UD Las Palmas are scheduled to meet in La Liga 2 on 10 May at 08:00 ET. This fixture falls within the final stretch of the 2025–26 La Liga 2 season, a period when promotion and relegation battles typically intensify. The current 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book suggests either exceptional certainty among traders or minimal liquidity depth at present pricing, a common pattern for markets on lower-tier Spanish football matches where retail participation remains sparse.
La Liga 2 promotion races have historically produced volatile outcomes in their closing weeks. Comparable fixtures from prior seasons show that teams fighting for playoff positions or automatic promotion spots frequently exhibit unpredictable form, particularly when facing opponents with differing motivations—one side chasing points for advancement whilst another may already be secure or eliminated. The current probability formation reflects limited order book activity rather than consensus from a deep pool of traders, meaning early positioning can shift substantially as the match date approaches and more information surfaces.
Traders should monitor team news, injury reports, and official La Liga announcements in the weeks before 10 May. Fixture congestion, managerial changes, or unexpected results in surrounding matches can alter both sides' tactical approach and motivation. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on match day, leaving minimal time for late-breaking developments to be priced in. Current liquidity constraints mean wider spreads are likely; traders entering positions now should account for potential slippage if order book depth remains thin through to settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Andorra vs. UD Las Palmas - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$23K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $21K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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