Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Eredivisie game, scheduled for May 2 at 10:30 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Utrecht (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| NAC Breda (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Utrecht (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| NAC Breda (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Utrecht will face NAC Breda in an Eredivisie fixture on 2 May 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 CET (10:30 AM ET). This market cluster captures ancillary betting propositions tied to the match outcome and performance metrics. The settlement window closes at 14:30 UTC on match day, providing a narrow window for final position adjustments before the fixture commences.
The 100% implied probability currently reflected in Polymarket's order book suggests near-certainty pricing on the affirmative side of this market. Historical Eredivisie match markets typically show such extreme probabilities only when the underlying proposition is either heavily favoured by structural factors (fixture difficulty, team form, injury status) or when liquidity is thin and early traders have established positions without meaningful counterparty interest. Utrecht finished the 2024–25 season in mid-table, whilst Breda has operated in the lower half of the division; however, single-match outcomes remain inherently volatile. The current pricing warrants scrutiny regarding whether it reflects genuine information asymmetry or simply limited order-book depth.
Traders should monitor team news releases through late April, particularly injury confirmations and squad rotation decisions as both clubs manage fixture congestion. Recent Eredivisie scheduling has seen compressed midweek fixtures; any fixture postponement or rescheduling would trigger market resolution mechanics. Weather conditions and pitch status reports typically emerge 48 hours before kickoff and can influence match dynamics. The narrow settlement window means late-breaking information has limited time to move prices before expiry.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$23K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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