Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between Haras El Hodood SC and El Mokawloon El Arab SC, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Haras El Hodood SC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 15% YES | 85% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
Haras El Hodood SC will face El Mokawloon El Arab SC in an Egyptian Premier League fixture on 13 May 2026. The market is pricing an exact score outcome at 15% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting the combined likelihood of a specific final scoreline across all listed possibilities. With settlement at 14:00 UTC on match day, traders are currently pricing in the distribution of likely results based on available team data and historical patterns.
Egyptian Premier League matches typically produce varied scorelines, though 1–0 and 2–1 results account for a meaningful share of outcomes. Haras El Hodood, a military-affiliated club with moderate domestic standing, and El Mokawloon El Arab, a smaller-budget outfit, have historically produced lower-scoring encounters when meeting mid-table or lower-tier opposition. The 15% probability reflects the fragmentation of probability mass across numerous possible exact scores rather than any single outcome being particularly unlikely; in exact-score markets, even favoured results rarely exceed 20–25% implied probability.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions as the league season concludes. El Mokawloon's recent form and Haras El Hodood's defensive record will influence whether the market reprices toward lower-scoring outcomes. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the Egyptian season may affect team selection. Any confirmed absences of key players should shift the probability distribution, though the fragmented nature of exact-score betting means individual outcome probabilities typically remain modest.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Haras El Hodood SC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $28K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: