Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Czechia Fortuna Liga game, scheduled for May 10 at 9:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FK Pardubice (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| MFK Karviná (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FK Pardubice (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| MFK Karviná (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FK Pardubice will face MFK Karviná in a Czechia Fortuna Liga fixture on 10 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 9:00 AM ET. This represents a mid-table matchup in the Czech top division, where both clubs compete for league points in the final stretch of the season. The settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours after the scheduled start for final market activity before resolution.
The 0% implied probability currently displayed on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity in the initial order book or a market consensus that the "More Markets" condition—likely referring to additional betting markets becoming available for this fixture—will not materialise. Historical precedent suggests that Czech Fortuna Liga matches typically do generate supplementary markets on major prediction platforms, particularly for fixtures involving established clubs. The absence of any YES bids at present may indicate either genuine scepticism about market expansion or simply an early-stage liquidity void typical of markets opened well in advance of settlement.
Traders should monitor official Fortuna Liga fixture confirmations and any announcements from Polymarket regarding market expansion for this matchday. Fixture postponements, weather concerns, or administrative changes could affect whether additional markets are created. The timing of market creation decisions by Polymarket's operations team—typically made closer to match day—represents the primary catalyst. Current probability formation appears driven by thin order book depth rather than informed positioning.
FK Pardubice 1899 was a Czech football club from the city of Pardubice, which played one season in the Czechoslovak First League, under the name of VCHZ Pardubice. It was founded as Explosia Semtín in 1925.
FK Slovan Pardubice was a Czech football club from the city of Pardubice which participated in the Czech 2. Liga, most recently in the 2005–06 season.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Pardubice vs. MFK Karviná - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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