Trade: FK Jablonec vs. FC Hradec Králové - Exact Score

Market context

FK Jablonec travel to face FC Hradec Králové in the Czech Fortuna Liga on 10 May 2026, with the match kicking off at 12:30 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures the majority of probability mass in exact-score markets given the combinatorial nature of possible results.

The 0% implied probability across Polymarket's order book reflects the standard structure of exact-score markets rather than a genuine absence of trading interest. Exact-score predictions are inherently dispersed across dozens of potential outcomes—draws like 1–1 or 2–2, home wins such as 2–0 or 3–1, and away victories—meaning no single scoreline commands significant probability. Historical precedent shows that even heavily favoured outcomes in Czech league fixtures rarely exceed 8–12% implied probability on exact scores, with the remainder distributed across "Any Other Score" and numerous alternative results.

Traders should monitor team news in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly injury status and squad rotation patterns as the season concludes. Jablonec's recent form, league position, and any European commitments affecting fixture congestion will influence expected goal output. Hradec Králové's home-ground advantage and defensive record merit attention, as do any managerial tactical shifts announced closer to the match date. Weather conditions on the day and late team-sheet confirmations typically emerge within 24 hours of kick-off and can shift expectations around goal-heavy versus low-scoring outcomes.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "FK Jablonec vs. FC Hradec Králové - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share

A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

CLOB

Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.

Liquidity

USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.

UMA optimistic oracle

The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.

Slippage

The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.

Conditional token

ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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