Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Czechia Fortuna Liga game, scheduled for May 16 at 11:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| 1. FC Slovácko (-1.5) | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| FK Mladá Boleslav (-1.5) | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| 1. FC Slovácko (-2.5) | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| FK Mladá Boleslav (-2.5) | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 31% YES | 69% NO |
On 16 May 2026, 1. FC Slovácko will host FK Mladá Boleslav in the Czech Fortuna Liga at 11:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing this outcome at 39% implied probability, reflecting a moderately bearish view of Slovácko's prospects in what appears to be a late-season fixture. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kick-off for final confirmation.
Slovácko and Mladá Boleslav occupy different positions in the Czech league hierarchy. Slovácko has historically competed in the upper half of the Fortuna Liga, whilst Mladá Boleslav has shown inconsistent form across recent seasons. The 39% probability suggests the market is pricing Slovácko as a slight underdog despite home advantage, which typically carries a 3–5 percentage-point premium in Czech league fixtures. This discount may reflect Mladá Boleslav's recent form or squad depth advantages heading into the final stretch of the season.
Traders should monitor team news releases and injury confirmations in the week preceding the match, as late-season absences often shift probabilities materially. Czech Fortuna Liga standings and goal-differential records as of early May will clarify playoff or relegation implications, which can influence tactical setup and motivation. Weather conditions in the Moravian region on match day may also affect play style, particularly if either side relies on pressing or wide play. No major European competition conflicts should affect squad rotation for either club at this stage of the season.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "1. FC Slovácko vs. FK Mladá Boleslav - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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