Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Czechia Fortuna Liga game between 1. FC Slovácko and FC Baník Ostrava, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FC Slovácko vs. FC Baník Ostrava match originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 21% YES | 80% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
On 12 May 2026, 1. FC Slovácko will host FC Baník Ostrava in a Czechia Fortuna Liga fixture. The market is pricing an exact final score at 10% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders view the listed outcomes as relatively unlikely compared to "Any Other Score." This reflects the mathematical reality that in football, the distribution of final scores is heavily weighted towards a small number of common results, with most individual scorelines occurring infrequently.
Slovácko finished the 2024–25 season in mid-table, whilst Baník Ostrava has historically competed in the upper half of the Fortuna Liga. Head-to-head records between these sides show competitive matches with varied scorelines; neither club has demonstrated a strong tendency towards particularly high or low-scoring encounters. The 10% probability assigned to this specific outcome aligns with typical market pricing for individual exact scores in top-tier Czech football, where outcomes like 1–1, 2–1, and 1–0 collectively account for roughly 40–50% of all matches.
Traders should monitor team news closer to the fixture date, including injury updates and any squad rotation decisions, as these can materially affect attacking output and defensive solidity. Fixture congestion in late May—with potential European qualification play-offs or domestic cup finals—may influence how either side approaches the match. Weather conditions on the day, particularly wind strength, can also shift expected goal distributions. The settlement window closes immediately after the 90-minute mark, so only regulation time counts.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "1. FC Slovácko vs. FC Baník Ostrava - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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