Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Indonesia and Nepal scheduled for May 28 2026 in T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal - Who wins the toss? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal - Completed match? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Women's cricket at the 2026 Asian Games will feature a qualifying match between Indonesia and Nepal on 28 May. The tournament structure typically determines which teams compete in such qualifiers based on their regional rankings and prior performance. Indonesia has developed its women's cricket programme in recent years, whilst Nepal has established itself as a competitive force in South Asian women's cricket. The match will be played under T20 format rules, with settlement dependent on the official result published by ESPNcricinfo, including any outcomes determined by Super Over tiebreaks or other competition-mandated procedures.
The 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the market's assessment that this match will definitively produce a winner rather than result in a no-result or cancellation. Historical precedent from previous Asian Games cricket events shows that scheduled qualifiers are rarely abandoned entirely, though weather disruptions and logistical issues have occasionally affected tournament scheduling in the region. The settlement window closing on 4 June provides a two-week buffer beyond the scheduled match date, allowing time for official results to be confirmed and any administrative processes to conclude.
Traders should monitor official Asian Games announcements regarding venue confirmation, squad announcements, and any weather forecasts as May approaches. Recent Asian cricket tournaments have proceeded largely as scheduled despite regional climate considerations. The current pricing suggests minimal concern about match cancellation or no-result scenarios, though ground conditions and player availability remain standard variables in live sports markets.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$50K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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