Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Fiji and Korea Republic scheduled for 2026-05-12 in T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Fiji will be considered correct if Fiji is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Korea Republic will be considered correct if Korea Republic is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FJI | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| KOR | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Fiji and Korea Republic will contest the East Asia-Pacific regional final of the T20 World Cup qualifier on 12 May 2026, with this market requiring both a toss win and match victory for either nation to settle YES. The combined probability of winning a coin flip (50%) and then winning the subsequent match creates a significantly lower overall probability than either event alone. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the substantial difficulty of predicting both outcomes simultaneously, though this may also indicate minimal liquidity or positioning in this particular market segment.
Historical T20 qualifier data shows regional finals typically feature competitive matchups between established and emerging cricket nations. Korea Republic has developed its cricket infrastructure considerably in recent years, whilst Fiji brings experience from previous ICC tournaments. The toss outcome carries genuine significance in T20 cricket given format-specific conditions, yet predicting both the coin flip result and subsequent match outcome requires either strong conviction on team quality or acceptance of the inherent randomness involved.
Traders should monitor official ICC scheduling confirmations, squad announcements from both boards, and any venue or weather updates as the May fixture approaches. Recent developments in East Asia-Pacific cricket governance and team preparation levels will inform match probability assessments. The settlement window closes on 19 May 2026, allowing approximately one week post-match for official results publication via ESPNcricinfo.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Fiji vs Korea Republic - Toss Match Doub" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$221 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $221 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: