Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between China and Thailand scheduled for 2026-05-29 in T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to China will be considered correct if China is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Thailand.The outcome corresponding to Thailand will be considered correct if Thailand is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than China. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CHN | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| THA2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
China and Thailand will compete in the women's T20 qualifier match at the 2026 Asian Games on 29 May. The market asks which team will hit more sixes during the contest, with settlement based on final statistics published by ESPNcricinfo. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for a China victory in this metric, reflecting either strong conviction that Thailand will hit more sixes or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price.
Historical context for women's T20 cricket in Asian regional tournaments shows considerable variance in six-hitting rates depending on pitch conditions, bowling quality and team composition. Thailand's women's cricket programme has developed substantially over recent years, though China remains the more established T20 force in Asian competition. Comparable qualifier matches in regional tournaments typically see the stronger-ranked side accumulate more boundary hits, though aggressive batting orders can skew outcomes unpredictably. The 0% probability suggests traders are pricing in either a significant Thailand advantage or treating this as an illiquid market with minimal position-taking.
Key variables affecting the outcome include squad announcements closer to the fixture date, recent form in warm-up matches, and pitch reports from the Asian Games venue. Weather conditions on match day will influence boundary-hitting strategy, particularly if overcast conditions favour seam bowling. Traders should monitor team selection news and any pre-tournament warm-up results from both sides, which typically emerge in late May 2026. The settlement window closes shortly after the scheduled match completion, allowing limited time for late information to move the market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: China vs Thailand - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: