Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Leicestershire and Derbyshire scheduled for 2026-05-27 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Leicestershire will be considered correct if Leicestershire is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Derbyshire.The outcome corresponding to Derbyshire will be considered correct if Derbyshire is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Leicestershire. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
Sports outcome markets settle within hours of game-end via the UMA optimistic oracle, with the YES/NO line refreshing in real time on every meaningful in-game event. Odds will populate live once the order book fills with 1 day to resolution — final-48h markets historically see the largest volume spikes.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| LEI | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| DER | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Leicestershire and Derbyshire will contest a T20 Blast fixture on 27 May 2026, with settlement determined by which side records more sixes across their innings. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for a YES resolution, indicating the market is pricing an extremely low likelihood of Leicestershire hitting more sixes than their opponents. This pricing suggests either strong conviction around Derbyshire's batting aggression or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price rather than genuine market consensus.
T20 Blast matches typically generate 12–16 sixes per side, with variation driven by pitch conditions, bowling attack quality and batting lineup composition. Historical county cricket data shows Derbyshire have maintained competitive six-hitting rates in recent seasons, whilst Leicestershire's strike-rotation patterns differ materially. The current 0% probability warrants scrutiny; such extreme pricing often reflects low liquidity rather than certainty, particularly in niche cricket markets where order book depth remains shallow.
Traders should monitor team selection announcements in the week preceding the match, as overseas players or injury withdrawals materially affect batting intent. Pitch reports from Grace Road or the Derbyshire ground will signal expected bounce and boundary dimensions. Weather forecasts matter—overcast conditions typically suppress six-hitting rates. Recent T20 Blast form sheets and head-to-head records between these sides' respective batting units will provide calibration for whether the current pricing genuinely reflects underlying match dynamics or simply reflects minimal market participation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 3 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.espncricinfo.com/), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Sports markets on PolyGram historically have the fastest payout cycle — over 94% clear within four hours of game-end, with the remainder gated by overtime, weather, or referee review. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshire - Most Sixes", sports markets tend to see the tightest 1-2¢ spreads in the final hour before tip-off, widening rapidly the moment of any in-game news.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($0 of resting liquidity), a $50 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
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The mechanics for trading "T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshire - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshire - Most Sixes", the considerations above apply directly — Sports outcome contracts are sensitive to single-event variance — a coin-flip game, a referee call, or an injured player can move the line 10-30¢ in seconds. Position sizing should reflect that variance rather than the expected value alone.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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