Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Islamabad United and Multan Sultans scheduled for 2026-04-26 in Pakistan Super League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Islamabad United will be considered correct if Islamabad United is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Multan Sultans.The outcome corresponding to Multan Sultans will be considered correct if Multan Sultans is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Islamabad United. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ISL | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| MUL | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Islamabad United and Multan Sultans will contest a Pakistan Super League match on 26 April 2026, with this market determining which side strikes more sixes during the fixture. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for Islamabad United hitting more sixes, reflecting either extreme confidence in Multan Sultans' batting aggression or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price rather than genuine market consensus.
Historical PSL data reveals six-hitting patterns vary considerably by venue and opposition. Multan Sultans have consistently ranked amongst the league's more aggressive batting units, whilst Islamabad United's six-hitting rates depend heavily on squad composition and form during the 2026 season. T20 cricket's inherent variance means single-match six counts frequently diverge from seasonal averages; teams batting second often accumulate more sixes when chasing targets, whilst powerplay constraints and bowling quality significantly influence boundary frequency. Recent PSL seasons show matches where the favoured team underperforms in this specific metric.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad changes, particularly acquisitions of explosive batsmen or loss of key players through injury. Pitch reports from the scheduled venue will prove material, as slower, shorter boundaries favour six-hitting whilst faster, larger grounds suppress them. Weather conditions on match day—wind direction and cloud cover—affect ball carry distance. The settlement window closes 3 May 2026, allowing time for official ESPN Cricinfo statistics to be finalised, though disputes over boundary classifications occasionally require clarification.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Multan Sultans - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$362 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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