Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Sunrisers Hyderabad and Punjab Kings scheduled for 2026-05-06 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Sunrisers Hyderabad will be considered correct if Sunrisers Hyderabad is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Punjab Kings.The outcome corresponding to Punjab Kings will be considered correct if Punjab Kings is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Sunrisers Hyderabad. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SUN | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| PUN | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Sunrisers Hyderabad face Punjab Kings in an IPL fixture scheduled for 6 May 2026. The market resolves on which team strikes more sixes during the match, with settlement finalised against ESPN Cricinfo's official statistics by 13 May. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating the market has priced this outcome with certainty—a position that typically emerges when one side of the binary has attracted negligible backing or when liquidity remains sparse.
Historically, six-hitting patterns in IPL encounters between these franchises depend heavily on pitch characteristics, powerplay aggression, and squad composition. Sunrisers have traditionally favoured controlled batting with selective boundary-hitting, whilst Punjab Kings have shown greater volatility in their approach. Previous meetings between the sides have seen six counts range from 8–15 per team depending on match conditions and batting order deployment. The current 100% reading suggests traders perceive one outcome as overwhelmingly probable, though this may reflect thin order book depth rather than genuine certainty about match dynamics.
Traders should monitor squad announcements closer to the fixture date, particularly injury updates affecting key batsmen and all-rounders. Pitch reports from the venue—typically indicating whether conditions favour aggressive batting or contain bowling—will materialise in the days preceding the match. Weather forecasts and toss outcomes on match day remain material catalysts, as overcast conditions or early moisture can suppress boundary-hitting rates. Current IPL form data and recent six-hitting statistics for both teams' top-order players will provide empirical grounding for reassessing the probability as the fixture approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$426 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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