Sports

Trade: CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano - More Markets

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Chile Primera game, scheduled for May 15 at 8:00 PM ET.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$29K
Total Volume
$60
24h Volume
$60
Open Interest
$60
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Market outcomes

CD Coquimbo Unido (-1.5) 27% YES74% NO
Audax CS Italiano (-2.5) 6% YES95% NO
O/U 2.5 46% YES55% NO
O/U 3.5 25% YES75% NO
Both Teams to Score 50% YES51% NO
Audax CS Italiano (-1.5) 5% YES95% NO
CD Coquimbo Unido (-2.5) 9% YES91% NO
O/U 1.5 73% YES28% NO

Market context

CD Coquimbo Unido will face Audax Italiano in the Chilean Primera División on 15 May at 8:00 PM ET. The market currently prices the outcome of additional match-related markets at 26% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting how traders are positioning ahead of the fixture. Settlement occurs on 16 May at midnight UTC, allowing roughly 16 hours post-match for resolution.

Coquimbo Unido and Audax Italiano operate at different competitive tiers within Chilean football. Coquimbo, based in the northern Coquimbo Region, has historically occupied mid-table positions in the Primera División, whilst Audax Italiano, a Santiago-based club, has experienced greater volatility in league standing and relegation-promotion cycles. The 26% probability on the order book reflects the relative strength differential between the sides, though Chilean domestic fixtures frequently produce unexpected results owing to travel distances, altitude variations between northern and central venues, and squad rotation patterns mid-season.

Traders should monitor team news releases and official squad announcements in the 48 hours preceding kickoff, particularly regarding injuries or suspensions that could affect starting lineups. Weather conditions in the Coquimbo Region—notably wind patterns affecting play quality—may influence match dynamics. The fixture falls within the Chilean league's standard May scheduling window, with no mid-week European competition distractions affecting either squad's preparation. Recent form data from the Chilean Football Federation's official records will be the primary reference point for assessing current squad condition and tactical setup.

Wikipedia Context

  • Coquimbo Unido
    Coquimbo Unido

    Coquimbo Unido is a Chilean football club based in the city of Coquimbo. The club was founded in 1958 and has played in the Chilean Primera División since being promoted in 2022. Their home games are played at the Estadio Municipal Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, which has a capacity of approximately 18,750 seats.

  • Coquimbo Formation
    Coquimbo Formation

    The Coquimbo Formation is a littoral, sedimentary, and fossiliferous geological formation that chiefly crops out along the coast of the Coquimbo Region, Chile. It is dated back to the Miocene to Middle Pleistocene. The lithology of the formation comprises sands, sandstones, siltstones, limestones, coquinas, and conglomerates. The strata and facies of the Coq

  • Coquimbo
    Coquimbo

    Coquimbo is a port city, commune and capital of the Elqui Province, located on the Pan-American Highway, in the Coquimbo Region of Chile. Coquimbo is situated in a valley 10 km (6 mi) south of La Serena, with which it forms Greater La Serena with more than 400,000 inhabitants. The commune spans an area around the harbor of 1,429.3 km2 (552 sq mi). The averag

  • Coquimbo Region
    Coquimbo Region

    The Coquimbo Region is one of Chile's 16 administrative regions. It is located approximately 400 kilometres (250 mi) north of the national capital, Santiago. The region is bordered by the Atacama Region to the north, the Valparaíso Region to the south, Argentina to the east, and the Pacific Ocean to the west.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://anfp.cl/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$60 in lifetime turnover and $29K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.

Last 24 hours alone saw $60 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://anfp.cl/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano - More Markets"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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