Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC will host Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on 27 June 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% probability for a home win at the interval, suggesting near-parity between backing Chongqing and the combined draw-or-away outcomes. This probability has formed across a relatively thin book, typical for matches in the Chinese Super League where liquidity concentrates closer to kickoff.
Halftime results in Chinese Super League matches historically show home sides converting their advantage into first-half leads roughly 45–52% of the time, depending on fixture quality and squad depth. Chongqing's home record and Tianjin's away performance this season will anchor expectations; teams with stronger possession-based systems tend to establish control by the interval, whilst those relying on counter-attacking may show less decisive halftime positioning. The 49% probability sits within the range expected for a competitive matchup without obvious favouritism.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury status for key attacking or defensive personnel that could shift first-half tactical approach. Fixture congestion in the weeks preceding this match may affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions in Chongqing on match day—humidity and temperature—can influence pace and fatigue patterns that manifest by halftime. Official lineups, typically released 60 minutes before kickoff, will provide final confirmation of formation choices that directly influence halftime outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $444 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 27 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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