Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Sunday, June 28, 2026 between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Qingdao Xihaian FC | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Draw (Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC) | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 47% YES | 54% NO |
Qingdao Xihaian FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC will meet in the Chinese Super League on Sunday, 28 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting near-parity in how traders are pricing the fixture. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity and represents the marginal consensus at the time of observation.
Chinese Super League fixtures between mid-table and lower-ranked sides typically exhibit high variance in outcomes. Comparable matchups in the 2024–2025 season showed that home advantage carried modest but measurable weight, with Qingdao's home record historically stronger than Zhejiang's away record. However, both clubs have experienced significant roster turnover in recent transfer windows, making direct historical comparison less reliable than usual. The 49% reading suggests traders are treating this as genuinely competitive rather than favouring either side's structural advantages.
Key catalysts ahead of settlement include team news on injuries or suspensions, which Chinese Super League clubs typically announce 48–72 hours before fixtures. Weather conditions in Qingdao in late June—notably humidity and heat—have occasionally affected match tempo and fatigue levels. Any late-season form swings in the weeks preceding 28 June will also shift the order book, particularly if either side enters the fixture on a winning or losing run. Traders should monitor official CSL announcements and club statements for lineup confirmations as the settlement window approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $489 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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