Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Beijing Guoan FC and Henan FC, scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC match originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Beijing Guoan and Henan FC meet in the Chinese Super League on 23 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 50% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, indicating substantial uncertainty around which specific scoreline will materialise. This even split suggests traders are pricing genuine ambiguity rather than favouring any particular outcome among the listed exact scores.
Chinese Super League matches between these sides historically produce varied results, with neither club maintaining consistent dominance in head-to-head fixtures. Beijing Guoan typically operates as a stronger side with greater financial resources and European-standard infrastructure, whilst Henan FC has experienced volatility in recent seasons following ownership changes and squad restructuring. The 50% probability reflects this competitive imbalance being partially offset by the inherent unpredictability of exact scorelines—even favoured teams rarely exceed 20-25% probability on any single exact score outcome in football markets.
Traders should monitor team news and injury announcements in the weeks preceding the match, particularly regarding key attacking and defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the Chinese Super League calendar, including potential cup competitions running concurrently, may affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions in Beijing during late May—typically warm and occasionally humid—could influence playing style and goal-scoring patterns. Any last-minute schedule changes or postponements would extend the settlement window, though the market remains open until the match concludes.
A 1997 Chinese Jia-A League round 10 fixture was contested at the old Workers' Stadium in Beijing between hosts Beijing Guoan and the visiting Shanghai Shenhua on 20 July 1997. Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Shenhua were both established teams in the Chinese Jia-A League, who regularly occupied high league positions in the years before. The match was the first m
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $409 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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