Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Copa do Brasil game between CR Vasco da Gama and Paysandu SC, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CR Vasco da Gama vs. Paysandu SC match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
CR Vasco da Gama will face Paysandu SC in a Copa do Brasil fixture on 13 May 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unlisted scoreline resolving to "Any Other Score." The 49% implied probability on YES outcomes reflects the current Polymarket order book, where traders are pricing the likelihood that the match produces one of the explicitly listed exact scores rather than an alternative result.
Vasco da Gama competes in Brazil's Série B, whilst Paysandu operates in the same division. Historical Copa do Brasil matchups between lower-division sides typically produce moderate scoring patterns, with 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 results accounting for a substantial portion of outcomes. The breadth of possible exact scores in football—with draws and narrow victories more frequent than high-scoring affairs—naturally distributes probability across many outcomes, which explains why the YES probability sits near parity rather than heavily favoured toward any single listed result.
Team news and squad availability will influence scoring expectations in the weeks before the fixture. Recent form, injury reports, and tactical adjustments announced closer to match day will shape how traders adjust positions on Polymarket's order book. Weather conditions in Brazil during May and any fixture congestion affecting either side's preparation schedule may also shift the probability distribution across listed scores. Traders should monitor official team announcements and Copa do Brasil communications for any postponement notices, which would keep the market open until the match is completed.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasil. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CR Vasco da Gama vs. Paysandu SC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $260 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasil. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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