Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Fortaleza EC and SC Recife, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fortaleza EC vs. SC Recife match originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
Fortaleza EC and SC Recife will meet in a Brazil Serie B fixture on 28 June 2026 at 22:30 UTC. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any scoreline not explicitly listed settling as "Any Other Score." The 44% implied probability for YES reflects current order book pricing on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood that the match produces one of the discrete outcomes offered rather than an unlisted result.
Exact-score markets in Brazilian Serie B typically see YES probabilities cluster between 35–50%, depending on the number of listed outcomes and the teams' attacking profiles. Fortaleza has historically been a stronger side than Recife in recent seasons, which could influence expected goal distribution and the relative probability of higher-scoring draws versus low-scoring results. The current 44% reading sits within the typical range for mid-tier Serie B matchups, suggesting the order book has priced in moderate confidence that the final score will match one of the preset options rather than fall into "Any Other Score."
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the days before the match, particularly injury updates to key forwards or defensive players that could shift expected scoring patterns. Fixture congestion in the Brazilian calendar and any late postponement announcements will affect settlement timing. Historical weather conditions in late June in Brazil's northeast region occasionally impact playing conditions, though this rarely alters match scheduling at professional level.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Fortaleza EC vs. SC Recife - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $261 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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