Trade: SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for May 16 at 5:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $82K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| SC Internacional (-1.5) | 24% YES | 77% NO |
| CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5) | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| SC Internacional (-2.5) | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5) | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 13% YES | 88% NO |
Market context
SC Internacional and CR Vasco da Gama will meet in Brazil's Série A on 16 May 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices additional markets for this fixture at 24% implied probability, reflecting the collective assessment of traders positioning ahead of the settlement window closure on 16 May at 21:30 UTC.
Vasco da Gama has historically struggled in direct matchups against Internacional, particularly in away fixtures. Over the past five seasons, Vasco's win rate in such contests has hovered around 20–25%, consistent with the current market pricing. Internacional's home record and superior squad depth in midfield have typically favoured the Rio de Janeiro side in these encounters. The 24% probability aligns with Vasco's structural disadvantages in this pairing rather than reflecting an outlier assessment.
Traders should monitor team news in the fortnight preceding the match, particularly injury updates to key players and any late fixture rescheduling announcements from the Confederação Brasileira de Futebol. Form trends in the weeks immediately before 16 May will influence late-market movement; a string of poor results for either side could shift the probability meaningfully. Polymarket's order book depth will determine how readily traders can adjust positions as new information emerges, with tighter spreads typically appearing closer to kick-off as the settlement window narrows.
Wikipedia Context
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SC InternacionalSport Club Internacional, commonly known as Internacional, Inter de Porto Alegre or simply Inter, is a Brazilian professional football club based in Porto Alegre. They play in the Série A, the first division of the Brazilian league, as well as in Campeonato Gaúcho Série A, the first level of the Rio Grande do Sul state football league. The team's home stadiu
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SC Internacional (women)
Sport Club Internacional, commonly known as Internacional or Gurias Coloradas, is a Brazilian women's Association football club, based in the city of Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. They won the Campeonato Gaúcho de Futebol Feminino fifteen times.
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SC Internacional (SP)Sport Club Internacional, commonly known as Internacional, was a Brazilian football team from São Paulo, São Paulo state. They competed several times in the Campeonato Paulista and won the competition twice.
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SCG International Risk
SCG International was founded in 1996 to provide government and private sectors with domestic and international security, logistics and training services. After SCG and its former CEO Jamie Smith lost a $9.5 million lawsuit, the Virginian-Pilot reported that SCG was apparently defunct and that Jamie Smith had left the United States. In August 2012, the US Ai
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $82K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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