Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for May 10 at 2:00PM ET: If the Reyer Venezia win, the market will resolve to "Reyer Venezia". If the Derthona Basket win, the market will resolve to "Derthona Basket". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Reyer Venezia will face Derthona Basket in a Serie A basketball fixture scheduled for 10 May at 2:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for a Venezia victory, indicating that market participants are pricing in an extremely high likelihood of a Derthona win or reflecting substantial uncertainty about the match outcome itself. This extreme skew warrants examination of the underlying fundamentals driving such a one-sided market formation.
Venezia finished the 2023–24 Serie A season in mid-table, whilst Derthona has established itself as a competitive force in Italian basketball over recent seasons. Historical matchups between these clubs and their respective league standings provide context for evaluating whether the current 0% probability reflects genuine performance differentials or potential mispricing. The timing of this fixture—in May, near the end of the regular season—suggests both teams' form and injury status will be critical determinants of the outcome.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official Serie A announcements regarding player availability and any schedule changes in the days preceding the match. Fixture congestion, travel logistics, and rest patterns often influence Italian basketball outcomes at this stage of the season. The settlement window extends to 17 May, allowing for potential postponement scenarios. Any material roster changes or coaching announcements from either club could shift the probability away from its current extreme positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.flashscoreusa.com/basketball/italy/lega-a. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $13K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.flashscoreusa.com/basketball/italy/lega-a. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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