Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for May 10 at 1:00PM ET: If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the Saski Baskonia win, the market will resolve to "Saski Baskonia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Valencia vs. Saski Baskonia | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Valencia and Saski Baskonia will meet in Liga Endesa on 10 May at 1:00 PM ET, with the winner determined by final score including overtime. The current order book on Polymarket prices Valencia at 22 per cent implied probability, reflecting the market's assessment that Baskonia enters as the stronger favourite in this matchup. Settlement occurs on 17 May, allowing seven days post-game for result confirmation.
Liga Endesa fixtures between these two clubs historically show competitive balance, though recent season form carries significant weight in Spanish basketball markets. Baskonia has consistently ranked amongst the league's top four sides, whilst Valencia's positioning has fluctuated more substantially year-to-year. The 22 per cent probability for Valencia suggests the market views them as clear underdogs, consistent with typical pricing when a lower-ranked side faces a stronger opponent in domestic competition. Comparable matchups involving similar strength differentials in European basketball typically settle within the 15–30 per cent range for the weaker team.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury reports and squad availability, as Liga Endesa rosters often experience late-season changes. Fixture congestion matters—both sides may have competing commitments in the week preceding the match. The postponement clause remains relevant given Spain's unpredictable scheduling; any delay would extend the settlement window. Recent Liga Endesa standings and head-to-head records should be cross-referenced against current roster composition to assess whether the 22 per cent adequately reflects Valencia's actual competitive position.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.acb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valencia vs. Saski Baskonia" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$130K in lifetime turnover and $72K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $103K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.acb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: