Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for April 26 at 11:00AM ET: If the Manresa win, the market will resolve to "Manresa". If the Burgos win, the market will resolve to "Burgos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Manresa vs. Burgos | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Manresa and Burgos will contest a Liga Endesa matchup on 26 April at 11:00 AM ET, with settlement determined by the final score including any overtime. The current order book on Polymarket reflects zero probability for a Manresa victory, suggesting either substantial backing for Burgos or minimal liquidity establishing a floor price. At this stage in the season, such extreme probabilities typically indicate either a significant disparity in team form or sparse trading activity rather than certainty of outcome.
Historical context for Liga Endesa fixtures shows that home-court advantage and recent win streaks carry measurable weight in determining outcomes, though upsets remain common enough that markets rarely price teams at zero probability before tip-off. Teams separated by multiple positions in the standings have produced competitive matches, particularly in mid-season fixtures where rotation and fatigue patterns vary considerably. The current 0% reading warrants scrutiny against Manresa's recent performance trajectory and Burgos' current standing within the league hierarchy.
Traders should monitor team news through late April regarding injury status, roster changes, or scheduling complications that might affect availability. Liga Endesa fixtures occasionally face postponement due to administrative or logistical factors, which would extend the settlement window. The settlement deadline of 3 May provides a buffer for any rescheduling, though the contract specifies a 50-50 resolution only if the fixture is cancelled entirely with no make-up game scheduled—a relatively rare occurrence in the Spanish league structure.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.acb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Manresa vs. Burgos" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.acb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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