Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming KBL game, scheduled for May 9 at 1:00AM ET: If the KCC Egis win, the market will resolve to "KCC Egis". If the Goyang win, the market will resolve to "Goyang". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| KCC Egis vs. Goyang | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The KCC Egis face Goyang in a Korean Basketball League fixture scheduled for 9 May at 1:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for KCC Egis, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme probability skew typically emerges when one side commands overwhelming backing or when liquidity remains sparse, allowing small positions to shift the visible price substantially. The settlement window extends to 16 May, providing a five-day buffer for fixture completion and result confirmation.
Historical KBL matchups between these sides and broader league dynamics offer context for interpreting this probability. The Egis have established themselves as a stronger franchise in recent seasons, though Korean basketball remains competitive enough that home-court advantage and roster availability significantly influence outcomes. A 100% implied probability in sports markets is rarely justified by fundamentals alone; such extremes typically reflect either thin liquidity on the order book or a consensus view so dominant that contrarian traders have withdrawn.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and injury reports in the days preceding the fixture, as the KBL regularly experiences late-notice player absences. Fixture confirmation remains essential given the early morning ET start time, which occasionally prompts scheduling adjustments. Any news regarding Goyang's squad depth or the Egis' recent form could shift the probability if it reaches traders' attention before the game, though the current 100% reading suggests the market has already priced in available information or lacks sufficient participation to reflect alternative scenarios.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.kbl.or.kr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "KCC Egis vs. Goyang" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$64K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $62K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.kbl.or.kr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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