Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for May 2 at 12:00PM ET: If the Boulazac win, the market will resolve to "Boulazac". If the Cholet win, the market will resolve to "Cholet". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Boulazac vs. Cholet | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Boulazac and Cholet will contest a Pro A basketball match on 2 May at 12:00 PM ET. The market currently shows 0% implied probability for a Boulazac victory on Polymarket's order book, reflecting either extreme confidence in a Cholet win or minimal liquidity in the contract. Settlement occurs on 9 May at 16:00 UTC, with the result determined by the final score including any overtime periods.
The 0% pricing warrants scrutiny given typical Pro A competitive dynamics. Both clubs compete in France's top professional league, where regular-season matchups between mid-table sides rarely produce such lopsided probability distributions. Historical precedent suggests that when one team trades at zero implied probability, either material information about team availability has emerged—injuries to key players, roster changes, or scheduling conflicts—or the market simply lacks sufficient order depth to establish a meaningful price. The settlement window extends a week beyond the scheduled match date, allowing for postponement resolution should fixture congestion or other disruptions occur.
Traders should monitor official Pro A announcements regarding team rosters and injury status in the days preceding the fixture. Recent fixture congestion in European basketball leagues has occasionally forced rescheduling, though outright cancellations without make-up games remain rare. Any public statements from either club regarding player availability or logistical constraints could materially shift the current pricing. The absence of recent news coverage or betting market movement on comparable platforms may indicate this fixture has generated limited external attention, potentially explaining the thin liquidity currently reflected in Polymarket's order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lnb.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Boulazac vs. Cholet" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lnb.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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