Trade: Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for May 13 at 8:00AM ET: If the Shenzhen Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Shenzhen Leopards". If the Zhejiang Golden Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Golden Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $2K
- Total Volume
- $103
- 24h Volume
- $103
- Open Interest
- $103
Market outcomes
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The Shenzhen Leopards face the Zhejiang Golden Bulls in a Chinese Basketball Association matchup scheduled for 13 May at 8:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 55% implied probability favouring a Leopards victory, suggesting moderate confidence in the home side's prospects. This probability has formed through active trading rather than consensus, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating genuine uncertainty amongst market participants.
Historically, the Leopards and Golden Bulls have maintained competitive records within the CBA, though recent seasons have seen variable performance from both franchises. The 55% probability sits between a toss-up and a clear favourite, consistent with matchups between mid-tier CBA teams where roster depth and current form matter considerably. Comparable games between these sides have often turned on bench production and three-point shooting consistency, factors that shift probabilities meaningfully in the final days before tip-off.
Traders should monitor roster availability announcements, particularly regarding injury status for key players on either side, as the CBA typically releases team news within 48 hours of fixture dates. Weather conditions affecting travel to the venue and any scheduling adjustments remain secondary considerations. The settlement window extends to 20 May at 12:00 UTC, providing a buffer should postponement occur, though cancellation without rescheduling would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of current market positioning.
Wikipedia Context
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Shenzhen LeopardsShenzhen Leopards Basketball Club, previously known as Shenzhen Aviators, are a Chinese professional basketball team which plays in the Southern Division of the Chinese Basketball Association (CBA) and The Asian Tournament. New Century is the club's corporate sponsor. The team is based in Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong, and plays its home games at Shen
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.flashscore.com/basketball/china/cba. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$103 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $103 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current probability for "Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls"?
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.flashscore.com/basketball/china/cba. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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