Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for June 4 at 1:00PM ET: If the Besiktas win, the market will resolve to "Besiktas". If the Bahcesehir Koleji win, the market will resolve to "Bahcesehir Koleji". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji | 63% YES | 37% NO |
Beşiktaş will face Bahçeşehir Koleji in a Turkish Basketball Super League (BSL) match on 4 June at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 63% implied probability for a Beşiktaş victory, suggesting market participants view the Istanbul club as clear favourites. This probability has formed through trading activity on the platform's order book, where the spread between backing and laying Beşiktaş positions has settled at these levels.
Beşiktaş enters as a substantially stronger programme than Bahçeşehir Koleji in the BSL hierarchy. The Istanbul side competes consistently at the upper end of the league table, whilst Bahçeşehir Koleji operates as a mid-tier competitor. Historical matchups between these sides show Beşiktaş winning the majority of encounters. The 63% probability reflects this competitive gap but leaves meaningful room for an upset, which aligns with the inherent variance in single-game basketball outcomes where roster availability and form fluctuations carry significant weight.
Traders should monitor team news in the days preceding the fixture, particularly regarding injury status for key players on either side. The settlement window extends to 11 June at 17:00 UTC, providing a week-long buffer should postponement occur. Given the late-season timing within the BSL calendar, fixture congestion and travel logistics occasionally trigger rescheduling. Any official announcements from the Turkish Basketball Federation regarding the match status will directly impact market liquidity and positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.tbl.org.tr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 63%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.tbl.org.tr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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