Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for May 11 at 8:00PM ET: If the Quimsa win, the market will resolve to "Quimsa". If the Instituto Cordoba win, the market will resolve to "Instituto Cordoba". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Quimsa vs. Instituto Cordoba | 82% YES | 18% NO |
Quimsa will face Instituto Córdoba in an LNB (Liga Nacional de Básquet) matchup on 11 May at 8:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability for a Quimsa victory, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites. This probability is formed through real-time trading activity on the platform's order book, where traders continuously adjust positions based on their assessment of team strength, recent form, and available information.
Quimsa has historically been one of Argentina's stronger basketball programmes, whilst Instituto Córdoba operates at a competitive but lower tier within the LNB structure. Historical head-to-head records and recent season performance typically inform baseline expectations in Argentine basketball markets. The 74% probability aligns with conventional expectations for a matchup between teams of materially different competitive standing, though the exact gap reflects current market participants' collective view of both squads' present condition and injury status.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability and roster changes in the days preceding the fixture. Fixture scheduling changes remain possible in the Argentine basketball calendar, particularly given the LNB's compressed schedules. The settlement window extends to 19 May, providing a buffer beyond the scheduled date should postponement occur. Any official statements from either club regarding key player injuries or absences could shift the probability meaningfully, as could late-breaking information about team form or motivation heading into this particular fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliganacional.com.ar/laliga/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Quimsa vs. Instituto Cordoba" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $11K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 82%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliganacional.com.ar/laliga/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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