Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for May 10 at 11:00AM ET: If the Bosna Royal win, the market will resolve to "Bosna Royal". If the Partizan win, the market will resolve to "Partizan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bosna Royal vs. Partizan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The ABA League matchup between Bosna Royal and Partizan is scheduled for 10 May at 11:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring on 17 May at 15:00 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for a Bosna Royal victory, indicating that traders are pricing this as an extremely unlikely outcome. This extreme skew reflects either substantial confidence in Partizan's superiority or potentially thin liquidity on the YES side, where even modest backing could shift the probability meaningfully.
Partizan Belgrade has established itself as one of the ABA League's dominant franchises, consistently competing for titles and maintaining strong domestic performance. Bosna Royal, by contrast, operates at a considerably lower competitive tier within the league structure. Historical matchups between clubs of this calibre differential typically see the stronger side prevail with high consistency, which contextualises why the market has collapsed toward zero probability for an upset. The settlement window extends a week beyond the scheduled match date to accommodate potential postponements, a relevant consideration given the ABA League's occasional scheduling adjustments.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news regarding injuries or roster changes in the days preceding the fixture, as such developments could alter competitive balance. The timing of the match—early morning ET—may also affect liquidity patterns on Polymarket itself. Any official postponement announcements would keep the market open beyond the original settlement date, whilst cancellation without rescheduling would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, a tail risk currently priced at negligible probability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.aba-liga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bosna Royal vs. Partizan" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.aba-liga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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