Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Jung/Uesugi and Serdarusic/Vrbensky in the Heilbronn, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jung/Uesugi' if the team of Jung/Uesugi advances against Serdarusic/Vrbensky. This market will resolve to 'Serdarusic/Vrbensky' if the team of Serdarusic/Vrbensky advances against Jung/Uesugi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Heilbronn (Doubles): Jung/Uesugi vs Serdarusic/Vrbensky | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
A doubles tennis match between Jung/Uesugi and Serdarusic/Vrbensky is scheduled for the Heilbronn tournament on 5 June 2026. The market currently prices Jung/Uesugi's chances of advancing at 26%, reflecting a substantial underdog position on Polymarket's order book. The settlement window closes on 12 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for fixture delays or rescheduling before the market resolves to a 50-50 split.
Doubles pairings at lower-tier ATP 250 events like Heilbronn typically show high volatility in team composition and form. Jung and Uesugi represent a pairing with limited recent tournament history together, whilst Serdarusic and Vrbensky have competed as a unit more consistently. Historical precedent suggests that established doubles partnerships, even at modest ranking levels, tend to outperform ad-hoc or newly formed combinations by 15–20 percentage points in head-to-head matchups. The current 26% probability for Jung/Uesugi aligns with this pattern, though it leaves room for edge if either player has recent singles form or doubles momentum that hasn't yet priced in.
Traders should monitor entry lists and any last-minute withdrawals in the week before 5 June, as injuries or scheduling conflicts frequently alter doubles draws at mid-tier tournaments. Court surface conditions at Heilbronn (clay) may favour one pairing's style, though this information typically emerges closer to match day. The early morning 4:00 AM ET start time could affect liquidity and order-book depth as the match approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Heilbronn (Doubles): Jung/Uesugi vs Serdarusic/Vrbensky" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$18 in lifetime turnover and $160 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $18 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: