Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Chandler Blanchet | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sam Burns | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Rickie Fowler | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ryan Fox | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Lucas Glover | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chris Gotterup | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Cadillac Championship is a PGA Tour event scheduled for 2026, with the top-five finish market currently trading at 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book. This suggests either minimal liquidity at current price levels or genuine uncertainty about whether the specified player will compete or finish within the top five positions at the tournament. The 0% reading typically reflects either no active bids above that threshold or a structural gap in the order book rather than certainty of a negative outcome.
Historical context for PGA Tour top-five markets shows that implied probabilities of 0% often persist when liquidity is thin or when traders lack conviction about a particular player's form relative to the field. Tour events feature approximately 150 competitors, making top-five finishes statistically achievable for most professional golfers, yet markets frequently price certain players at minimal percentages due to recent performance, injury status, or perceived field weakness. Comparable markets for mid-tier PGA events have shown that even players ranked outside the top 50 occasionally finish top five, suggesting that 0% pricing may reflect liquidity constraints rather than fundamental impossibility.
Traders should monitor the player's recent tournament results, any announced withdrawals or injury disclosures, and the official PGA Tour schedule confirmation for the 2026 Cadillac Championship. The settlement window closes 3 May 2026, with a final resolution deadline of 9 May 2026 at 20:00 ET, contingent on official PGA Tour publication of results. Current market depth and any movement in related player-performance markets may signal shifting assessments of competitive likelihood.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.pgatour.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "PGA Tour: Cadillac Championship Top 5" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$45K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.pgatour.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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