Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Stade Brestois 29 and Angers SCO, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 22% YES | 78% NO |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 22% YES | 78% NO |
| Angers SCO | 11% YES | 89% NO |
Stade Brestois will host Angers SCO on 17 May 2026 in a Ligue 1 fixture, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Brest halftime win at 22% implied probability, reflecting modest backing for the home side to lead at the interval.
Brest's recent form and home record provide context for interpreting this probability. Over the 2025–26 season, Brest has established itself as a competitive mid-table side with reasonable home advantage; however, halftime markets typically compress towards draw outcomes given the compressed timeframe and reduced goal-scoring opportunities in a single half. Historical data from comparable Ligue 1 halftime markets shows home-win probabilities cluster between 25–35% depending on team quality differential, suggesting the current 22% reflects either market perception of Angers' defensive solidity or uncertainty around Brest's attacking setup for this particular fixture.
Key variables for traders include team news released in the 48 hours before kickoff—injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel can shift halftime dynamics substantially—and Brest's recent goal-scoring patterns in opening periods. Fixture congestion late in the season may affect squad rotation decisions. Settlement occurs at 19:00 UTC on 17 May, approximately four hours after the match begins, allowing time for official confirmation of the halftime score. Monitor Ligue 1 official announcements and team sheets as the match approaches for shifts in available liquidity and probability adjustment.
Stade Brestois 29, commonly known as Stade Brestois or simply Brest, is a Breton professional football club based in Brest. It was founded in 1950 following the merger of five local patronages, including Armoricaine de Brest, founded in 1903. The club has competed in Ligue 1, the top division of French football, ever since being promoted to the top flight du
Stade Brestois New York is a soccer team gathering and made up of members of the Breton community in New York City. Organized by the BZH New York association, it was formerly called the Merlus de New York, until some players merged into the new team in 2011-2012. Sponsored by the professional French team Stade Brestois 29, the team plays seven a side by oppo
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for soccer contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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