Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Pressure (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on June 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by June 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| 50+ | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| 70+ | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| 60+ | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| 80+ | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Pressure is a 2026 film scheduled for release before the Rotten Tomatoes resolution window closes on 1 June. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability on the order book, indicating traders expect the film's Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score to meet or exceed a specified threshold. This probability is formed through active trading on Polymarket's order book, where the current ask-bid spread and cumulative liquidity shape the displayed odds.
Historical precedent suggests that films released in early 2026 typically accumulate sufficient critical reviews by early June for Rotten Tomatoes to display a stabilised score. Comparable recent releases show that major studio films generally receive 30–50 reviews within the first two weeks of wide release, establishing a score that remains largely unchanged thereafter. The 100% probability implies either high confidence in the film's critical reception relative to the threshold, or that the threshold itself is set conservatively low enough to accommodate typical critical response patterns.
Key catalysts include the film's official release date, which will determine the review aggregation timeline, and early festival screenings or press previews that may precede theatrical release. Trade publications and industry reporting will signal critical sentiment weeks before the formal Rotten Tomatoes score stabilises. Any significant production delays or release date shifts would alter the information environment materially. Traders should monitor Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Deadline for casting announcements, trailer releases, and critical reception signals that might challenge the current consensus probability.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading ""Pressure" Rotten Tomatoes score?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for rotten tomatoes contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: