Resolution criteria on PolyGram: The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles). This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| <70% | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| 70–75% | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| 75–80% | 33% YES | 67% NO |
| 80–85% | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| >85% | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Peru will hold a presidential runoff election on 7 June 2026, with turnout measured as the percentage of eligible voters who cast ballots in the second round. The current order book on Polymarket implies just 4% probability that turnout will exceed 50%, suggesting traders expect a notably depressed second-round participation relative to historical norms. This low probability reflects scepticism about whether voters will return to polling stations for a runoff after already participating in the first round.
Peruvian presidential runoffs have historically drawn lower turnout than first rounds, though the magnitude varies considerably. The 2016 runoff between Kuczynski and Fujimori achieved approximately 57% turnout, whilst the 2021 runoff between Castillo and Fujimori saw roughly 59% participation. These precedents sit well above the 50% threshold this market tests, yet Peru's political environment has become increasingly fragmented and volatile since 2021, with institutional instability potentially dampening voter engagement.
Traders should monitor the composition of the first-round field and the ideological distance between runoff candidates, as polarisation typically drives participation upwards. The official electoral calendar and any major political developments between the first and second rounds—including candidate withdrawals, coalition formations, or institutional crises—will shape turnout expectations. Peru's mandatory voting system, with penalties for non-participation, provides a structural floor for turnout that distinguishes it from voluntary systems, though enforcement and compliance rates have shown variation in recent elections.
In Peru, the people directly elect a head of state as well as a legislature. The president is elected by the people for a five-year term. The unicameral Congress (Congreso) has 130 members, also elected for a five-year term by proportional representation. Peru has a multi-party system, which effectively bars one party from becoming the sole influence in a d
Before Election Day of the 2020 United States presidential election, lawsuits related to the voting process were filed in various states. Many of these lawsuits were related to measures taken by state legislatures and election officials in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
These are the events concerning the 2006 Singaporean general election which occurred before the polling day on 6 May 2006.
List of notable events prior to the 2025 Singaporean general election:
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$37K in lifetime turnover and $51K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for rewards 20 4pt5 50 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: