Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the auction clearing price for the Zama public sale is greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://auction.zama.org/register If the final auction clearing price cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant information becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “No.”
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| >$0.14 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| >$0.18 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| >$0.09 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| >$0.20 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| >$0.30 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| >$0.03 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| >$0.04 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| >$0.05 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Zama, a cryptographic computing firm, is conducting a public auction to raise capital, with the clearing price to be determined by bidder demand at the event. The market resolves based on whether this final auction price exceeds a threshold specified in the title, with settlement contingent on official documentation from the Zama auction page by 31 December 2026. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects 0% implied probability, suggesting traders assess a negligible chance of the clearing price exceeding the specified level, though the title threshold itself remains unspecified in available market documentation.
Comparable token and equity auctions over the past three years have typically cleared within 10–30% of initial price guidance when demand materialised, though outcomes varied considerably depending on market conditions and investor appetite. Dutch auctions and sealed-bid mechanisms—common structures for protocol token sales—have shown sensitivity to broader cryptocurrency sentiment and the credibility of underlying technology claims. The absence of pre-auction price signals or investor guidance in public sources currently limits calibration against historical precedent.
Key catalysts include any formal announcement of auction timing and mechanics from Zama, disclosure of minimum or target raise amounts, and broader cryptocurrency market conditions in the months preceding the sale. Traders should monitor Zama's official communications channels and the auction registration page for structural details that would inform clearing price expectations. The extended settlement window to January 2027 allows time for auction execution, though permanent unavailability of final pricing would trigger a "No" resolution regardless of actual clearing outcomes.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Zama auction clearing price" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2.1M in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for pre market contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 4 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2027. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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