Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Cardi B and Stefon Diggs are engaged to be married by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Cardi B and Stefon Diggs have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Cardi B, Stefon Diggs, or their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026? | 16% YES | 84% NO |
Cardi B, the Grammy-winning rapper and television personality, and Stefon Diggs, the NFL wide receiver currently with the Houston Texans, have been in a relationship since 2020. The question of whether they will announce an engagement by the end of 2026 is currently trading at 23% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting substantial uncertainty amongst traders about the likelihood of a formal commitment within the next two years.
Comparable celebrity engagements suggest that public couples with established relationships typically announce engagements within two to four years of going public. Cardi B was previously married to Offset from 2017 to 2021, demonstrating her willingness to formalise relationships, though she has also been cautious about remarriage. The 23% probability sits between base rates for celebrity couples at this relationship stage—higher than random chance but substantially below the likelihood for couples explicitly discussing marriage plans. Recent reporting from TMZ and other entertainment outlets has not indicated imminent engagement discussions between the pair, though both maintain active public profiles.
Key catalysts for traders to monitor include any joint public appearances or statements from either party regarding future plans, announcements of major life events (such as property purchases or family expansion), or direct comments from their representatives about relationship status. The NFL off-season and entertainment industry events may provide natural occasions for such announcements. The resolution window extends through 31 December 2026, meaning traders are pricing in roughly twenty-four months of potential developments.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$658 in lifetime turnover and $686 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for pop culture contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 4 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 16%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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