Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tyler1 shaves his head by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, “shaving his head" refers to a clearly visible and noticeable change to a fully shaved/buzzed head. Small adjustments, minor trims, buzzing just the sides, or natural minor thinning that doesn't dramatically alter his appearance will not qualify. Taking a little snip, minor trim, or casual buzz on stream (or in a video) also does not count. It must be a real, substantial shave that noticeably changes his appearance from the hair style he's maintained. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026? | 24% YES | 77% NO |
Tyler1, the prominent League of Legends streamer, currently maintains a distinctive shaved head aesthetic that has become central to his personal brand since around 2017. The question of whether he will undergo a noticeable head shave between now and 1 June 2026 hinges on whether he deviates from his established grooming routine or undergoes a dramatic change to his appearance. The market's 24% implied probability, visible on Polymarket's order book, reflects trader assessment that such a departure remains unlikely given his consistent presentation over the past seven years.
Historical precedent suggests that established streamers rarely make dramatic appearance changes without significant life events or deliberate rebranding efforts. Tyler1's head shaving has remained a stable element of his streaming persona, with no public indication of plans to alter this. Comparable cases of major content creators changing their signature look typically involve explicit announcements or documented transitions, providing advance warning to markets. The absence of any such signals currently supports the lower probability assessment.
Traders monitoring this market should track any major life announcements, potential retirement discussions, or explicit statements from Tyler1 regarding appearance changes. His streaming schedule and content direction remain the primary catalysts; extended hiatuses or strategic pivots could precede appearance modifications. Additionally, any documented health concerns or personal circumstances that might motivate such changes would represent material information. The settlement window extends across eighteen months, providing ample time for such developments to emerge and be reflected in order book pricing.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$26K in lifetime turnover and $83 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for league of legends contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 2 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 24%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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