Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Sweden Allsvenskan game between Hammarby IF and Malmo FF, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Hammarby IF | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Malmo FF | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Hammarby IF will host Malmö FF in the Swedish Allsvenskan on 17 May 2026, with the halftime result market settling on outcomes during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for the home side to be ahead at the interval, suggesting traders perceive roughly equal likelihood across the three halftime outcomes (Hammarby win, draw, or Malmö win).
Halftime markets in Allsvenskan fixtures typically gravitate towards balanced probabilities when neither side holds a pronounced early-season advantage. Historical data from Swedish top-flight matches shows home teams convert approximately 38–42% of halftime leads into full-match victories, whilst draws at the interval occur in roughly 25–30% of fixtures. Malmö's recent form and squad depth relative to Hammarby will anchor expectations; the visitors have contested European qualification spots in recent seasons, which often correlates with stronger opening-half discipline.
Traders should monitor team news releases through early May, particularly injury updates affecting key attacking or defensive personnel. Malmö's fixture congestion—whether they face European commitments immediately before or after this match—may influence tactical setup and pressing intensity in the first half. Weather conditions at Hammarby's Tele2 Arena and any late squad rotations announced within 48 hours of kickoff could shift the order book meaningfully. Current pricing reflects genuine uncertainty; movement will likely follow concrete information on availability and tactical intent rather than sentiment alone.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.allsvenskan.se/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hammarby IF vs. Malmo FF - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $111 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.allsvenskan.se/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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